Botic van de Zandschulp vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π³π±Botic van de Zandschulp
#41 Β· 31 yrs Β· R
3 meetings Β· sets 3β4

πΊπΈReilly Opelka
#156 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
20wBotic van de Zandschulp and Reilly Opelka have met 3 times since 2021; Reilly Opelka leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Great Ocean Road Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Opelka leads 2β1. Opelka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 3 sets to Opelka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Reilly Opelka won at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 20/28 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 19/53 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 16/23 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 13/23 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 67% | 8/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 1, Opelka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
π₯ Big Hitter
Opelka
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 23, 2025
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Oct 19, 2025
Basel
H Hard Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 5, 2021
Great Ocean Road Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15β7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | - |
| ROI % | +30.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +6.70u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 6 | β |
| Distance | 1,611 mi Β· 2,592 km | β |
| Route | CHN | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Zandschulp and Opelka posted a 20% win rate.
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 67 36 | L 46 46 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 36 67 | L 57 67 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 76 36 | L 36 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 | L 67 46 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Michelsen
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 8
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Valentin Royer
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 2nd Round
Sep 25
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 Β· Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris Β· 1st Round
May 24
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· 1st Round
Apr 23
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona Β· 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona Β· Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo Β· Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami Β· 1st Round
Mar 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 23β64 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 52% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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