Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron NorriePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทBenjamin Bonzi
#100 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
42 meetings ยท sets 4โ3

๐ฌ๐งCameron Norrie
#40 ยท 31 yrs ยท L
4Benjamin Bonzi and Cameron Norrie have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Moselle Open - Metz in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Bonzi leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Bonzi has taken 4 sets to Norrie's 3. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon
- Level
- ATP 250
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 20 ยท 9:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.04 or longer, Benjamin Bonzi has won 39 of 100 (39%). That is level with the 40% the price implied.
At 1.78 or shorter, Cameron Norrie has won 94 of 154 (61%). That is level with the 61% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Benjamin Bonzi and Cameron Norrie meet next at the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon on October 20 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bonzi | Norrie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Benjamin Bonzi | Cameron Norrie | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 22/34 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 22/58 | 47% | 22/47 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 17/30 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 90% | 19/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 62% | 13/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bonzi 1, Norrie 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bonzi
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Norrie
๐ฏ Baseliner
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ฏ Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,304 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 18, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Nov 9, 2024
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard ยท Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bonzi | Norrie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Benjamin Bonzi | Cameron Norrie | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 5 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bonzi | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ8 | 7โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.25 |
| ROI % | +3.7% | -15.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.71u | -1.99u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bonzi | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 744 mi ยท 1,198 km | 6,469 mi ยท 10,411 km |
| Route | POR โ FRA | CHN โ FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Bonzi's 40%).
| Opponent | Bonzi | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 46 36 | L 36 63 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 26 | L 67 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 76 60 | W 63 63 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 67 57 | L 76 26 26 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 61 61 | W 64 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 46 | W 57 76 61 |
| Bernard Tomic | W 67 62 75 | W 61 60 |
| Christopher O'Connell | L 46 46 | L 67 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 36 63 | W 16 76 75 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 76 16 46 | L 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mika Brunold
Roanne Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 14
Hugo Grenier
Roanne Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 12
August Holmgren
Porto Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 28
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 5
Ignacio Buse
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 4
Alex Molcan
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Semifinals
Aug 28
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Luca Van Assche
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 52โ64 matches
| Metric | Bonzi | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 54% |
| Sets won | 55% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bonzi | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bonzi | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |