Belinda Bencic vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇭Belinda Bencic
#12 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 7–3
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Belinda Bencic and Naomi Osaka have met 4 times since 2019; Belinda Bencic leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Indian Wells in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Bencic leads 2–1. Across all meetings Bencic has taken 7 sets to Osaka's 3. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Miami Open - Miami (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bencic | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belinda Bencic | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 27/38 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 77% | 10/13 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 21/51 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 23/39 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 9/11 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 32/38 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 27/38 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bencic 2, Osaka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
👑 The Complete Package
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 31, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 29, 2019
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 16
May 10, 2019
Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 7, 2019
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bencic | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Belinda Bencic | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.42 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +11.2% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.67u | +1.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bencic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | CAN | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bencic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Osaka's 50%).
| Opponent | Bencic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 60 | L 46 26 |
| Elise Mertens | W 62 63 | W 61 62 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 36 75 75 | L 67 46 |
| Coco Gauff | L 64 36 46 | W 63 62 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 75 60 | W 63 63 |
| Donna Vekic | W 62 62 | W 76 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 36 60 63 | L 26 16 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 76 | W 61 62 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 63 67 | L 67 36 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 62 62 | L 76 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Xi Yao Wang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mika Stojsavljevic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elina Svitolina
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–51 matches
| Metric | Bencic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 73% |
| Sets won | 70% | 67% |
| Games won | 58% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bencic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bencic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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