Belinda Bencic vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¨πBelinda Bencic
#12 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5 meetings Β· sets 8β2

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#3 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Belinda Bencic and Jessica Pegula have met 5 times since 2015; Belinda Bencic leads 4β1. Their first meeting came at 's Hertogenbosch in 2015 on grass. On hard courts Bencic leads 2β1. Across all meetings Bencic has taken 8 sets to Pegula's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bencic | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belinda Bencic | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 27/38 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 77% | 10/13 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 21/51 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 23/39 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 9/11 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 32/38 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 27/38 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bencic 4, Pegula 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
π The Complete Package
Pegula
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π The Complete Package vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 11, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Apr 9, 2023
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay Β· Semifinals
Sep 4, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Jul 24, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jun 10, 2015
's Hertogenbosch
G Grass Β· Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bencic | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Belinda Bencic | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β1 | 17β5 |
| Avg odds | 1.42 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +11.2% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.67u | +2.29u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bencic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 12 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 761 mi Β· 1,225 km |
| Route | CAN | AUT β CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Bencic and Pegula posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Bencic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 64 36 46 | L 26 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 36 60 63 | W 75 46 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 62 62 | W 64 26 76 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 60 | L 64 46 06 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 76 | L 36 36 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 64 46 76 | W 63 75 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 26 61 62 | W 61 63 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 63 67 | L 46 64 36 |
| Madison Keys | L 64 36 26 | W 76 76 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 64 46 06 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 5
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Xi Yao Wang
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mika Stojsavljevic
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Elina Svitolina
French Open - Paris Β· 4th Round
May 31
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 51β76 matches
| Metric | Bencic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 75% |
| Sets won | 70% | 66% |
| Games won | 58% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bencic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bencic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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