Belinda Bencic vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ญBelinda Bencic
#12 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 4โ3

๐ง๐ชElise Mertens
#24 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Belinda Bencic and Elise Mertens have met 3 times since 2021; Belinda Bencic leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Bencic leads 2โ1. Bencic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bencic has taken 4 sets to Mertens's 3. Their most recent meeting: Belinda Bencic won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bencic | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belinda Bencic | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 27/38 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 77% | 10/13 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 21/51 | 31% | 15/49 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 23/39 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 9/11 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 32/38 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 27/38 | 78% | 21/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bencic 1, Mertens 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
๐ The Complete Package
Mertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Jan 10, 2026
United Cup - Australia
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Feb 13, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bencic | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Belinda Bencic | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ1 | 9โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.42 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +11.2% | +12.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.67u | +1.73u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bencic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 1,715 mi ยท 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN โ POL โ AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Bencic and Mertens posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Bencic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 36 60 46 | W 16 64 62 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 57 64 75 | W 61 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 60 | W 63 63 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 63 67 | L 36 57 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 63 67 64 | W 64 64 |
| Coco Gauff | L 64 36 46 | L 62 67 36 |
| Bianca Andreescu | W 64 61 | W 61 62 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 64 63 | W 46 76 63 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 36 75 75 | L 61 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Xi Yao Wang
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mika Stojsavljevic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Elina Svitolina
French Open - Paris ยท 4th Round
May 31
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 49โ51 matches
| Metric | Bencic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 59% |
| Sets won | 70% | 58% |
| Games won | 58% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bencic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bencic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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