Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ทBeatriz Haddad Maia
#428 ยท 30 yrs ยท Left-Handed
15w3 meetings ยท sets 2โ4

๐ช๐ธPaula Badosa
#58 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Beatriz Haddad Maia and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2023; Paula Badosa leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Badosa leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Maia has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 4. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Ningbo Open - Ningbo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Haddad Maia | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Beatriz Haddad Maia | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 6/23 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 2/8 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Haddad Maia 1, Badosa 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maia
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Badosa
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Beatriz Haddad Maia and Paula Badosa are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 18, 2024
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Feb 14, 2023
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jan 12, 2023
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Maia | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 9โ4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.77 |
| ROI % | - | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.64u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maia | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 6 |
| Distance | โ | 10,936 mi ยท 17,599 km |
| Route | โ | BRA โ ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Maia's 0%).
| Opponent | Maia | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Yulia Putintseva | L 63 57 36 | W 61 62 |
| Marina Bassols Ribera | L 26 16 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Sachia Vickery
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz ยท 1st Round
Jun 15
Heather Watson
The HSBC Championships - London ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Francesca Jones
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 24
Shuai Zhang
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Diane Parry
Trophee Clarins - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 1st Round
May 6
Marina Bassols Ribera
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda ยท Quarterfinals
May 1
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 23โ45 matches
| Metric | Maia | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 17% | 60% |
| Sets won | 25% | 59% |
| Games won | 41% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maia | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maia | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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