Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇧🇷Beatriz Haddad Maia
#154 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
9w3 meetings · sets 2–4

🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wBeatriz Haddad Maia and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2023; Paula Badosa leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Badosa leads 2–1. Across all meetings Maia has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 4. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Ningbo Open - Ningbo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Haddad Maia | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Beatriz Haddad Maia | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 6/7 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 7/27 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 4/10 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Haddad Maia 1, Badosa 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maia
💥 Big Hitter
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Beatriz Haddad Maia and Paula Badosa are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 18, 2024
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 14, 2023
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 12, 2023
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maia | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–3 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.00u | +3.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Maia's 33%).
| Opponent | Maia | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Yulia Putintseva | L 63 57 36 | W 61 62 |
| Marina Bassols Ribera | L 26 16 | W 63 62 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 62 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sachia Vickery
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 15
Heather Watson
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Francesca Jones
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Diane Parry
Trophee Clarins - Paris · 1st Round
May 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 6
Marina Bassols Ribera
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda · Quarterfinals
May 1
Ashlyn Krueger
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda · 2nd Round
Apr 29
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–39 matches
| Metric | Maia | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 26% | 59% |
| Sets won | 33% | 59% |
| Games won | 43% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maia | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maia | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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