Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Beatriz Haddad Maia
#428 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
15w4 meetings · sets 2–8
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Beatriz Haddad Maia and Jelena Ostapenko have met 4 times since 2017; Jelena Ostapenko leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Seoul in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 4–0. Ostapenko has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Ostapenko leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Maia has taken 2 sets to Ostapenko's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Miami Open - Miami (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Haddad Maia | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Beatriz Haddad Maia | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 6/23 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 2/8 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Haddad Maia 0, Ostapenko 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maia
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Beatriz Haddad Maia and Jelena Ostapenko are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 25, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 16, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 21, 2018
Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 24, 2017
Seoul
H Hard · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maia | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.89 |
| ROI % | - | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maia | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | — | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Maia's 0%).
| Opponent | Maia | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 46 46 | W 64 61 |
| Shuai Zhang | L 46 26 | L |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 36 26 | W 63 60 |
| Francesca Jones | L 61 67 26 | W 62 62 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 26 57 | W 64 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 75 36 26 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sachia Vickery
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 15
Heather Watson
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Francesca Jones
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Shuai Zhang
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Diane Parry
Trophee Clarins - Paris · 1st Round
May 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 6
Marina Bassols Ribera
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda · Quarterfinals
May 1
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–42 matches
| Metric | Maia | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 17% | 57% |
| Sets won | 25% | 57% |
| Games won | 41% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maia | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maia | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
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