Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Beatriz Haddad Maia
#154 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
9w4 meetings · sets 2–8
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Beatriz Haddad Maia and Jelena Ostapenko have met 4 times since 2017; Jelena Ostapenko leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Seoul in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 4–0. Ostapenko has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Ostapenko leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Maia has taken 2 sets to Ostapenko's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Miami Open - Miami (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Haddad Maia | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Beatriz Haddad Maia | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 6/7 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 7/27 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 4/10 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Haddad Maia 0, Ostapenko 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maia
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 25, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 16, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 21, 2018
Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 24, 2017
Seoul
H Hard · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maia | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–3 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.00u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maia | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Maia's 0%).
| Opponent | Maia | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 36 26 | W 63 60 |
| Francesca Jones | L 61 67 26 | W 62 62 |
| Ella Seidel | L 76 67 57 | W 64 64 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 26 57 | W 64 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 75 36 26 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sachia Vickery
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 15
Heather Watson
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Francesca Jones
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Diane Parry
Trophee Clarins - Paris · 1st Round
May 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 6
Marina Bassols Ribera
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda · Quarterfinals
May 1
Ashlyn Krueger
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda · 2nd Round
Apr 29
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–39 matches
| Metric | Maia | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 26% | 56% |
| Sets won | 33% | 56% |
| Games won | 43% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maia | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maia | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
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