Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ทBeatriz Haddad Maia
#154 ยท 30 yrs ยท Left-Handed
9w4 meetings ยท sets 3โ7

๐ต๐ฑIga Swiatek
#8 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Beatriz Haddad Maia and Iga Swiatek have met 4 times since 2022; Iga Swiatek leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Toronto in 2022 on hard. On clay courts Swiatek leads 2โ0. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Swiatek has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Maia has taken 3 sets to Swiatek's 7. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Haddad Maia | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Beatriz Haddad Maia | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 5/6 | 79% | 34/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 7/26 | 33% | 20/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 4/10 | 57% | 33/58 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 7/16 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 86% | 38/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 77% | 34/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Haddad Maia 0, Swiatek 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maia
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Swiatek
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 30, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Jan 3, 2024
United Cup
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Jun 8, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Aug 11, 2022
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Maia | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0โ3 | 10โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 1.24 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.00u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maia | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 9 |
| Distance | โ | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Maia's 0%).
| Opponent | Maia | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Diane Parry | L 36 26 | W 63 63 |
| Janice Tjen | L 06 16 | W 60 63 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 06 36 | L 76 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Sachia Vickery
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz ยท 1st Round
Jun 15
Heather Watson
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Francesca Jones
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 24
Diane Parry
Trophee Clarins - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 1st Round
May 6
Marina Bassols Ribera
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda ยท Quarterfinals
May 1
Ashlyn Krueger
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda ยท 2nd Round
Apr 29
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 26โ60 matches
| Metric | Maia | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 23% | 72% |
| Sets won | 31% | 69% |
| Games won | 42% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maia | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maia | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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