Barbora Krejcikova vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¨πΏBarbora Krejcikova
#28 Β· 30 yrs Β· Right-Handed
34 meetings Β· sets 4β5

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#3 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Barbora Krejcikova and Jessica Pegula have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2β2. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2β2. Across all meetings Krejcikova has taken 4 sets to Pegula's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krejcikova | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Barbora Krejcikova | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 6/13 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 13/41 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 19/30 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 24/28 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krejcikova 1, Pegula 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krejcikova
π₯ Big Hitter
Pegula
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Barbora Krejcikova and Jessica Pegula are π₯ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 2, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Nov 5, 2024
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Feb 24, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Jan 22, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krejcikova | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Barbora Krejcikova | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 14/20 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 35% | 7/20 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Krejcikova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14β5 | 17β5 |
| Avg odds | 1.45 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +2.3% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.43u | +2.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krejcikova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 12 |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | 761 mi Β· 1,225 km |
| Route | CAN β POL | AUT β CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Krejcikova's 30%).
| Opponent | Krejcikova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 06 36 | W 75 46 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 62 36 36 | L 36 36 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 16 57 | W 63 76 |
| Clara Tauson | W 61 46 63 | W 63 26 64 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 36 67 | L 61 36 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 26 36 | W 64 67 60 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 76 67 26 | W 64 46 76 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 36 36 | W 57 62 63 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 75 62 | W 75 36 63 |
| Emma Raducanu | W 46 76 61 | W 36 76 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Lilli Tagger
Livesport Prague Open - Prague Β· Semifinals
Jul 25
Dominika Salkova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Lucie Havlickova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague Β· 2nd Round
Jul 23
Linda Fruhvirtova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Maria Sakkari
Athens Open - Athens Β· Final
Jul 19
Clara Tauson
Athens Open - Athens Β· Semifinals
Jul 18
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 41β76 matches
| Metric | Krejcikova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 75% |
| Sets won | 65% | 66% |
| Games won | 56% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krejcikova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krejcikova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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