Barbora Krejcikova vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¨πΏBarbora Krejcikova
#46 Β· 30 yrs Β· Right-Handed
3w4 meetings Β· sets 4β5

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#4 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5wBarbora Krejcikova and Jessica Pegula have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2β2. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2β2. Across all meetings Krejcikova has taken 4 sets to Pegula's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krejcikova | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Barbora Krejcikova | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 6/12 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 12/36 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 17/29 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 5/6 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 22/26 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krejcikova 1, Pegula 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krejcikova
π₯ Big Hitter
Pegula
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 2, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Nov 5, 2024
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Feb 24, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Jan 22, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krejcikova | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Barbora Krejcikova | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Krejcikova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7β4 | 14β4 |
| Avg odds | 1.38 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -13.4% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.47u | +0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krejcikova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 1 | β |
| Matches | 1 | β |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | β |
| Route | SGP | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Krejcikova's 25%).
| Opponent | Krejcikova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 26 36 | L 57 26 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | L 67 26 | W 64 60 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 61 62 | W 63 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 62 36 36 | L 36 36 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 16 57 | W 63 76 |
| Clara Tauson | W 61 46 63 | W 63 26 64 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 36 67 | L 61 36 36 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 36 36 | W 57 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anna Lena Friedsam
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· 1st Round
Sep 22
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Lilli Tagger
Livesport Prague Open - Prague Β· Semifinals
Jul 25
Dominika Salkova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Lucie Havlickova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague Β· 2nd Round
Jul 23
Linda Fruhvirtova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 36β66 matches
| Metric | Krejcikova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 77% |
| Sets won | 64% | 69% |
| Games won | 56% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krejcikova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krejcikova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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