Aslan Karatsev vs Elias YmerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aslan Karatsev and Elias Ymer have met 2 times since 2022; Elias Ymer leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Tata Open Maharashtra - Pune in 2022 on hard. Ymer has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Karatsev has taken 0 sets to Ymer's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elias Ymer won at Francavilla Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karatsev | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aslan Karatsev | Elias Ymer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 2/2 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 35% | 8/23 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/2 | 39% | 17/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 2/2 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 54% | 14/26 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 65% | 13/20 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 95% | 19/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Karatsev 0, Ymer 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karatsev
💥 Big Hitter
Ymer
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 8, 2025
Francavilla Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 3, 2022
Tata Open Maharashtra - Pune
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.31 |
| ROI % | - | -25.5% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 1,463 mi · 2,354 km |
| Route | — | USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · Round of 32
Apr 15
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Apr 15
Federico Cina
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Filip Pieczonka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 5
Mikhail Kukushkin
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Elias Ymer
Francavilla Challenger · 2nd Round
May 8
Stefano Travaglia
Francavilla Challenger · 1st Round
May 6
Petr Brunclik
Ostrava Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Daniil Glinka
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Paul Jubb
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Federico Cina
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Timofey Skatov
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Henry Searle
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ugo Humbert
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Niels Visker
Libema Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 2–45 matches
| Metric | Karatsev | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 100% | 47% |
| Sets won | 100% | 47% |
| Games won | 72% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Karatsev | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Karatsev | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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