Aslan Karatsev vs Elias YmerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aslan Karatsev and Elias Ymer have met 2 times since 2022; Elias Ymer leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Tata Open Maharashtra - Pune in 2022 on hard. Ymer has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Karatsev has taken 0 sets to Ymer's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elias Ymer won at Francavilla Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karatsev | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aslan Karatsev | Elias Ymer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 4/4 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 38% | 10/26 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/4 | 43% | 23/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 3/3 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 53% | 16/30 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 57% | 16/28 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 86% | 24/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Karatsev 0, Ymer 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karatsev
💥 Big Hitter
Ymer
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aslan Karatsev and Elias Ymer are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 8, 2025
Francavilla Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 3, 2022
Tata Open Maharashtra - Pune
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.40 |
| ROI % | - | -55.8% |
| Units P/L | - | -7.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 4 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karan Singh
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Apr 16
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · Round of 32
Apr 15
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Apr 15
Andriy Poritskyy
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 14
Aleksandre Shvangiradze
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 13
Federico Cina
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Filip Pieczonka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 5
Mikhail Kukushkin
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Terence Atmane
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexis Galarneau
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Luca Castelnuovo
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Semen Pankin
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–55 matches
| Metric | Karatsev | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 100% | 51% |
| Sets won | 100% | 50% |
| Games won | 69% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Karatsev | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Karatsev | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.