Ashlyn Krueger vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAshlyn Krueger
#68 Β· 22 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4 meetings Β· sets 0β8

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#4 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5wAshlyn Krueger and Jessica Pegula have met 4 times since 2023; Jessica Pegula leads 4β0. Their first meeting came at Hana Bank Korea Open - Seoul in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2β0. Pegula has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 0 sets to Pegula's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ashlyn Krueger | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/52 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 17/37 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 25/29 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 20/29 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 0, Pegula 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
π₯ Big Hitter
Pegula
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 8, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Aug 9, 2024
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Jul 2, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass Β· 1st Round
Oct 12, 2023
Hana Bank Korea Open - Seoul
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krueger | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ashlyn Krueger | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β5 | 14β4 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -36.1% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.25u | +0.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 4 | β |
| Distance | 654 mi Β· 1,053 km | β |
| Route | ROU β CZE | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Krueger's 40%).
| Opponent | Krueger | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Yulia Putintseva | L 16 36 | W 46 64 75 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 63 63 | W 63 61 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 36 | W 64 26 76 |
| Katie Boulter | W 36 62 62 | W 64 64 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 46 46 | L 16 46 |
| Donna Vekic | W 36 76 64 | W 46 62 63 |
| Darja Vidmanova | W 64 36 64 | W 75 63 |
| Madison Keys | L 16 57 | W 76 76 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 62 46 57 | W 57 62 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 46 26 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yulia Putintseva
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Taylah Preston
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sofia Kenin
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Julia Grabher
Philly Open - Philadelphia Β· 2nd Round
Aug 26
Anna Frey
Philly Open - Philadelphia Β· 1st Round
Aug 23
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 52β66 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 77% |
| Sets won | 56% | 69% |
| Games won | 52% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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