Ashlyn Krueger vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Ashlyn Krueger
#62 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 0–8
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Ashlyn Krueger and Jessica Pegula have met 4 times since 2023; Jessica Pegula leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Hana Bank Korea Open - Seoul in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 0 sets to Pegula's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ashlyn Krueger | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 16/26 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 13/31 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 8/14 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 21/25 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 16/25 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 0, Pegula 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
🤖 Servebot
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 8, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 9, 2024
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 2, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Oct 12, 2023
Hana Bank Korea Open - Seoul
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krueger | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ashlyn Krueger | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–4 | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +12.8% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.43u | +2.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 12 |
| Distance | 501 mi · 807 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | POL → ESP | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Krueger's 50%).
| Opponent | Krueger | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Boulter | W 36 62 62 | W 64 64 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 46 46 | L 16 46 |
| Donna Vekic | W 36 76 64 | W 46 62 63 |
| Darja Vidmanova | W 64 36 64 | W 75 63 |
| Madison Keys | L 16 57 | W 76 76 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 62 46 57 | W 57 62 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 46 26 | W 62 64 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 36 75 62 | W 63 76 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 75 63 | W 62 61 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 46 26 | W 64 46 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Julia Grabher
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Anna Frey
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 23
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Katie Boulter
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Daria Snigur
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Donna Vekic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–76 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 75% |
| Sets won | 55% | 66% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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