Arthur Rinderknech vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Rinderknech and Marin Cilic have met 3 times since 2021; Arthur Rinderknech leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2021 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Rinderknech has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 4 sets to Cilic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Rinderknech won at Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CRO-FRA 1-3 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 12/22 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 18/36 | 29% | 10/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 5/16 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 11/30 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 8/15 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 1, Cilic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Arthur Rinderknech and Marin Cilic are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 12, 2025
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CRO-FRA 1-3
C Clay · Rubber 2
Oct 24, 2022
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 1st Round
May 31, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -42.5% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.67u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Rinderknech's 25%).
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 64 67 46 | L 67 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 46 | L 16 26 46 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 67 62 76 62 | W 76 61 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 75 57 | W 26 64 76 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W | L 75 26 26 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 67 63 36 | W 63 62 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 67 | W 46 63 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 46 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–45 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 50% |
| Sets won | 47% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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