Arthur Fils vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π«π·Arthur Fils
#11 Β· 22 yrs Β· R
3 meetings Β· sets 6β2

πΊπΈFrances Tiafoe
#10 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
Arthur Fils and Frances Tiafoe have met 3 times since 2025; Arthur Fils leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Fils leads 3β0. Fils has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Fils leading those 1β0. Across all meetings Fils has taken 6 sets to Tiafoe's 2. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Fils won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fils | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Fils | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 23/35 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 29/29 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fils 1, Tiafoe 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fils
π€ Servebot
Tiafoe
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 2, 2026
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Aug 23, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· Final
Mar 24, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fils | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Fils | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Fils | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14β3 | 13β5 |
| Avg odds | 1.35 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +11.1% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.89u | +4.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fils | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN β CHN | JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Fils has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Tiafoe's 80%).
| Opponent | Fils | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 61 | W 64 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 57 64 46 | W 64 62 64 |
| Martin Damm | W 26 61 61 | W 64 46 36 63 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 63 | W 75 63 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 63 64 | W 62 76 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 64 | W 76 75 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 76 | W 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 64 | L 36 46 57 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 61 67 63 | L 46 67 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 64 36 61 | W 64 36 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Luca Van Assche
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Martin Damm
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 23
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 47β63 matches
| Metric | Fils | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 71% |
| Sets won | 68% | 63% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fils | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fils | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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