Anhelina Kalinina vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Anhelina Kalinina
#49 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–4
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Anhelina Kalinina and Jessica Pegula have met 2 times since 2022; Jessica Pegula leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kalinina has taken 2 sets to Pegula's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at French Open - Paris (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinina | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anhelina Kalinina | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 24/35 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 5/15 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 16/50 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 19/38 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 6/6 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 33/37 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 24/37 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinina 0, Pegula 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 17, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinina | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anhelina Kalinina | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -43.0% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.30u | +2.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 12 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kalinina's 50%).
| Opponent | Kalinina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Emma Navarro | L 63 46 26 | W 75 62 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 64 | W 63 62 |
| Darja Vidmanova | W 46 64 62 | W 75 63 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | L 64 46 57 | W 64 60 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 46 36 | W 60 62 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 63 76 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Darja Vidmanova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Tamara Korpatsch
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maria Lourdes Carle
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Kaitlin Quevedo
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 20
Paula Badosa
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Kamilla Rakhimova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–76 matches
| Metric | Kalinina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 75% |
| Sets won | 65% | 66% |
| Games won | 56% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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