Anhelina Kalinina vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπ¦Anhelina Kalinina
#48 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
42 meetings Β· sets 2β4

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#4 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5wAnhelina Kalinina and Jessica Pegula have met 2 times since 2022; Jessica Pegula leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kalinina has taken 2 sets to Pegula's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at French Open - Paris (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinina | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anhelina Kalinina | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 31/44 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 19/65 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 24/49 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 89% | 8/9 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 40/45 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 31/45 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinina 0, Pegula 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinina
πͺ Counterpuncher
Pegula
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The π The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Jan 17, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinina | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anhelina Kalinina | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2β6 | 14β4 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -59.9% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.79u | +0.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 2 | β |
| Distance | 654 mi Β· 1,053 km | β |
| Route | ROU β CZE | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kalinina's 50%).
| Opponent | Kalinina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Emma Navarro | L 63 46 26 | W 36 64 63 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 64 | W 63 62 |
| Darja Vidmanova | W 46 64 62 | W 75 63 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | L 64 46 57 | W 64 60 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 46 36 | W 60 62 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 63 76 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sonay Kartal
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round
Oct 12
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Darja Vidmanova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Tamara Korpatsch
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maria Lourdes Carle
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· 2nd Round
Jul 22
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 65β66 matches
| Metric | Kalinina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 77% |
| Sets won | 63% | 69% |
| Games won | 55% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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