Anhelina Kalinina vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Ningbo Open - Ningbo
- Level
- WTA 500
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 20 · 2:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.48 or shorter, Jasmine Paolini has won 80 of 99 (81%). The price implied 72%, so Jasmine Paolini has beaten it by 9 points.
At 2.74 or longer, Anhelina Kalinina has won 20 of 61 (33%). The price implied 29%, so Anhelina Kalinina has beaten it by 4 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Anhelina Kalinina and Jasmine Paolini meet next at the Ningbo Open - Ningbo on October 20 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinina | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anhelina Kalinina | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 31/45 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 20/66 | 36% | 14/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 24/50 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 89% | 8/9 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 41/46 | 79% | 15/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 31/46 | 58% | 11/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,771 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jasmine Paolini.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Kalinina and Paolini have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinina | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anhelina Kalinina | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 40% | 4/10 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 3 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | -59.6% | -4.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.77u | -0.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,089 mi · 1,753 km | 1,089 mi · 1,753 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE → FRA | ROU → CZE → FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Kalinina and Paolini posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Kalinina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L | W 61 62 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 57 36 | L 26 06 |
| Daria Snigur | W 76 75 | L 63 67 26 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | L 36 36 | W 63 61 |
| Veronika Erjavec | W 63 61 | W 63 36 64 |
| Solana Sierra | L 26 36 | L 63 46 36 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 64 63 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ningbo Open - Ningbo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Simona Waltert
Ningbo Open - Ningbo · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 17
Sonay Kartal
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Darja Vidmanova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Sonay Kartal
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round
Oct 15
Nikola Bartunkova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 2nd Round
Oct 14
Sara Bejlek
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–66 matches
| Metric | Kalinina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 51% |
| Sets won | 63% | 49% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |