Angelique Kerber vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Angelique Kerber
Unranked · 38 yrs · Left-Handed
109w7 meetings · sets 10–5
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Angelique Kerber and Naomi Osaka have met 7 times since 2017; Angelique Kerber leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Kerber leads 3–2. Across all meetings Kerber has taken 10 sets to Osaka's 5. Their most recent meeting: Angelique Kerber won at Olympics - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kerber | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Angelique Kerber | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 69% | 22/32 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 33% | 4/12 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 32% | 14/44 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 52% | 17/33 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 67% | 6/9 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 64% | 9/14 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 88% | 30/34 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 65% | 22/34 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 6 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kerber 4, Osaka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kerber
🎯 Baseliner
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naomi Osaka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jul 27, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 24, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 24, 2018
Singapore
H Hard · Round Robin
Jul 4, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Oct 4, 2017
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 20, 2017
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 29, 2017
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kerber | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.66 |
| ROI % | - | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | - | +1.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kerber | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | — | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
Olympics - Paris · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Leylah Fernandez
Olympics - Paris · 3rd Round
Jul 30
Jaqueline Cristian
Olympics - Paris · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Naomi Osaka
Olympics - Paris · 1st Round
Jul 27
Yulia Putintseva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jul 2
Diana Shnaider
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 24
Linda Noskova
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 18
Arantxa Rus
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 28
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–44 matches
| Metric | Kerber | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 73% |
| Sets won | - | 67% |
| Games won | - | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kerber | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kerber | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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