Andrea Vavassori vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นAndrea Vavassori
#597 ยท 31 yrs ยท R
18w34 meetings ยท sets 5โ5

๐ต๐ชJuan Pablo Varillas
#232 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
4w3Andrea Vavassori and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at Banja Luka in 2018 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2โ2. Varillas has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Vavassori has taken 5 sets to Varillas's 5. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Sanremo Challenger (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vavassori | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Vavassori | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 6/7 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 1/4 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 18% | 2/11 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 2/5 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 7/8 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 6/8 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vavassori 1, Pablo Varillas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vavassori
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Varillas
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ช Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 31, 2023
Sanremo Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17, 2022
Gstaad
C Clay ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 4, 2019
Poznan
C Clay ยท Round of 64
Sep 2, 2018
Banja Luka
C Clay ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Vavassori | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5โ2 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.21 |
| ROI % | - | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | - | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vavassori | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 2 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pol Martin Tiffon
Rome Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 24
Laslo Djere
Rome Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Apr 23
Maxim Mrva
Rome Challenger ยท 1st Round
Apr 21
Ugo Blanchet
Open Occitanie - Montpellier ยท 1st Round
Feb 3
Hugo Grenier
Open Occitanie ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 2
Roberto Carballes Baena
Open Occitanie ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 1
Aleksandar Vukic
Adelaide International - Adelaide ยท 2nd Round
Jan 14
Gabriel Diallo
Adelaide International - Adelaide ยท 1st Round
Jan 13
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 11โ63 matches
| Metric | Vavassori | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 57% |
| Sets won | 63% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vavassori | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vavassori | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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