Andrea Pellegrino vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นAndrea Pellegrino
#145 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
5 meetings ยท sets 4โ7

๐ต๐นNuno Borges
#51 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
Andrea Pellegrino and Nuno Borges have met 5 times since 2022; Nuno Borges leads 3โ2. Their first meeting came at Forli 4 Challenger in 2022 on hard. On clay courts Pellegrino leads 2โ1. On hard courts Borges leads 2โ0. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 4 sets to Borges's 7. Their most recent meeting: Nuno Borges won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 13/24 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 27/53 | 33% | 17/52 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 15/24 | 79% | 19/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 1, Borges 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
๐น Frontrunner
Borges
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs ๐น Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nuno Borges.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 16, 2024
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Nov 23, 2022
Valencia
C Clay ยท Round of 16
May 12, 2022
Bordeaux Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Feb 22, 2022
Forli 5 Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Feb 16, 2022
Forli 4 Challenger
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ6 | 8โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -27.4% | -15.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.74u | -2.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 663 mi ยท 1,067 km |
| Route | โ | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Borges has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Pellegrino's 25%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 67 76 36 | W 63 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 36 63 810 | L 64 36 57 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 36 46 | W 64 62 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 64 57 | L 16 64 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 36 | L 67 67 46 |
| Tristan Boyer | L 26 16 | W 63 75 75 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 61 | L 46 46 |
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | W 26 64 64 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Mika Petkovic
Genoa Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Jiri Lehecka
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ60 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 48% |
| Sets won | 53% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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