Andrea Pellegrino vs Flavio CobolliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นAndrea Pellegrino
#129 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
5 meetings ยท sets 3โ9

๐ฎ๐นFlavio Cobolli
#6 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
4Andrea Pellegrino and Flavio Cobolli have met 5 times since 2021; Flavio Cobolli leads 4โ1. Their first meeting came at Rome 1 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Cobolli leads 4โ1. Cobolli has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 3 sets to Cobolli's 9. Their most recent meeting: Flavio Cobolli won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Cobolli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Flavio Cobolli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 18/33 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 9% | 2/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/56 | 28% | 14/50 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 37% | 11/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 1, Cobolli 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
๐น Frontrunner
Cobolli
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 25, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Jul 17, 2023
Trieste Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Jul 14, 2022
Verona Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Apr 30, 2021
Rome 2 Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 22, 2021
Rome 1 Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Cobolli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Flavio Cobolli | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ6 | 9โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | +11.5% | +36.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | +5.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Pellegrino and Cobolli posted a 44% win rate.
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | W 40 | L 36 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 26 | W 62 63 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 67 76 36 | W 76 63 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 64 57 | L 26 46 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 76 57 510 | W 64 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 61 | L 26 67 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 36 | L 26 67 |
| Luca Nardi | W 46 63 63 | L 26 36 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 76 67 63 | W 75 26 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Andrey Rublev
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Luciano Darderi
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Raul Brancaccio
Trieste Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Semifinals
Aug 22
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 58โ63 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 59% |
| Sets won | 55% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
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