Andrea Pellegrino vs Flavio CobolliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นAndrea Pellegrino
#145 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
5 meetings ยท sets 3โ9

๐ฎ๐นFlavio Cobolli
#7 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
43Andrea Pellegrino and Flavio Cobolli have met 5 times since 2021; Flavio Cobolli leads 4โ1. Their first meeting came at Rome 1 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Cobolli leads 4โ1. Cobolli has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 3 sets to Cobolli's 9. Their most recent meeting: Flavio Cobolli won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Cobolli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Flavio Cobolli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 13/24 | 18% | 4/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 27/53 | 34% | 17/50 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 37% | 11/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 15/24 | 60% | 15/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 1, Cobolli 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
๐น Frontrunner
Cobolli
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs ๐น Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Flavio Cobolli.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 25, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Jul 17, 2023
Trieste Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Jul 14, 2022
Verona Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Apr 30, 2021
Rome 2 Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 22, 2021
Rome 1 Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Cobolli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Flavio Cobolli | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ6 | 6โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -27.4% | -0.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.74u | -0.07u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 3 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 5,722 mi ยท 9,208 km |
| Route | โ | GBR โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Pellegrino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Cobolli's 38%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Comesana | W 76 67 63 | W 36 26 63 64 64 |
| Arthur Fils | W 40 | L 36 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 26 | W 62 63 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 64 57 | L 26 46 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 76 57 510 | W 64 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 61 | L 26 67 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 36 | L 26 67 |
| Luca Nardi | W 46 63 63 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Mika Petkovic
Genoa Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 26
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 5
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Francisco Comesana
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Semifinals
Aug 22
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ65 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 60% |
| Sets won | 53% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
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