Anastasia Zakharova vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- August 31 · 9:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.10 or shorter, Naomi Osaka has won 21 of 23 matches, 91% against a fair-price expectation of 89%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Anastasia Zakharova and Naomi Osaka meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on August 31 on hard.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zakharova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Zakharova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 19/30 | 71% | 22/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 9/31 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 15/31 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 19/32 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zakharova
🏹 Frontrunner
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Zakharova and Osaka have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zakharova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Zakharova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 35% | 6/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zakharova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 12–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | +0.6% | +15.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.11u | +2.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zakharova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 5 |
| Distance | — | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | ECU → POL → ESP | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Zakharova's 17%).
| Opponent | Zakharova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 64 63 | W 62 75 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 36 26 | L 67 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 16 | L 67 36 |
| Camila Osorio | L 06 36 | W 62 75 |
| Antonia Ruzic | L 16 76 16 | W 63 36 64 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 16 | W 63 46 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kylie Collins
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Anna Blinkova
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hanne Vandewinkel
W100 Landisville · Final
Aug 9
Hanne Vandewinkel
W100 Landisville · Final
Aug 9
Ayana Akli
W100 Landisville · Quarterfinals
Aug 8
Katrina Scott
W100 Landisville · Semifinals
Aug 8
Fiona Crawley
W100 Landisville · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Tatiana Prozorova
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 4
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–61 matches
| Metric | Zakharova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 72% |
| Sets won | 49% | 67% |
| Games won | 49% | 56% |