Anastasia Potapova vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Potapova
#26 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 2–8
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5wAnastasia Potapova and Jessica Pegula have met 4 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3–0. Pegula has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 2 sets to Pegula's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/48 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 0, Pegula 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
👑 The Complete Package
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Anastasia Potapova and Jessica Pegula are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,208 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 11, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Mar 28, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 12, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 31, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potapova | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Potapova | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +19.6% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | +0.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Potapova's 30%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 67 67 | L 57 26 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 57 46 | W 63 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 62 75 | W 64 26 76 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 64 62 | W 63 62 |
| Coco Gauff | W 46 76 64 | L 26 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 16 26 | L 36 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 16 | W 62 64 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 62 67 | W 63 75 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 26 36 | W 61 63 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Leolia Jeanjean
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darja Semenistaja
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–66 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 77% |
| Sets won | 57% | 69% |
| Games won | 52% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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