Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
#641 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
23w4 meetings · sets 4–5
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Naomi Osaka have met 4 times since 2017; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Hong Kong in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Osaka leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pavlyuchenkova has taken 4 sets to Osaka's 5. Their most recent meeting: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pavlyuchenkova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 1/2 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 1/6 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 2/8 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 1/2 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pavlyuchenkova 1, Osaka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pavlyuchenkova
🤖 Servebot
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 22, 2019
Osaka
H Hard · Final
Oct 13, 2017
Hong Kong
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.46 |
| ROI % | - | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Pavlyuchenkova's 0%).
| Opponent | Pavlyuchenkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 26 16 | W 63 36 75 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 36 | L 46 26 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 16 | W 63 46 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Veronika Erjavec
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Alexandra Eala
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 21
Viktoriya Tomova
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Tena Lukas
Dubrovnik Open - Dubrovnik · 1st Round
Mar 24
Barbora Krejcikova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 15
Elise Mertens
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Mccartney Kessler
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 1st Round
Feb 1
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–44 matches
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | 75% |
| Sets won | 28% | 68% |
| Games won | 42% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pavlyuchenkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pavlyuchenkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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