Amanda Anisimova vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Amanda Anisimova
#17 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
6w2 meetings · sets 3–3
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6wAmanda Anisimova and Madison Keys have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at WTA Finals - Riyadh in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Anisimova has taken 3 sets to Keys's 3. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Anisimova | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Amanda Anisimova | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 15/24 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 6/13 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 12/27 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Anisimova 0, Keys 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Anisimova
👑 The Complete Package
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Nov 3, 2025
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Anisimova | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Amanda Anisimova | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Anisimova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | -2.6% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.23u | -2.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Anisimova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Keys's 50%).
| Opponent | Anisimova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 61 63 | W 61 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 62 67 | L 67 67 |
| Linda Noskova | W 61 64 | L 46 67 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 61 64 | W 61 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 36 60 64 | L 36 61 46 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 46 36 | L 36 16 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 76 64 | W 76 61 |
| Diane Parry | L 36 64 67 | L |
| Victoria Mboko | L 46 16 | W 63 57 75 |
| Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | W 63 61 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anastasia Potapova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Lilli Tagger
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Ashlyn Krueger
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexandra Eala
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–50 matches
| Metric | Anisimova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 68% |
| Sets won | 61% | 65% |
| Games won | 55% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Anisimova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Anisimova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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