Amanda Anisimova vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAmanda Anisimova
#10 Β· 24 yrs Β· Right-Handed
2 meetings Β· sets 3β3

πΊπΈMadison Keys
#23 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Amanda Anisimova and Madison Keys have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at WTA Finals - Riyadh in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Anisimova has taken 3 sets to Keys's 3. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Anisimova | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Amanda Anisimova | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 19/31 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 6/13 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 18/44 | 34% | 16/47 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 14/30 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 22/24 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Anisimova 0, Keys 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Anisimova
π The Complete Package
Keys
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π The Complete Package vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass Β· 3rd Round
Nov 3, 2025
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Anisimova | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Amanda Anisimova | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Anisimova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7β4 | 13β5 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -5.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.09u | -0.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Anisimova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | 411 mi Β· 662 km |
| Route | CAN β POL | CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Anisimova and Keys posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Anisimova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 62 67 | L 67 67 |
| Linda Noskova | W 61 64 | L 46 67 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 61 64 | W 61 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 36 60 64 | L 36 61 46 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 46 36 | L 36 16 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 16 62 64 | W 64 75 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 76 64 | W 76 61 |
| Diane Parry | L 36 64 67 | W 64 63 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 46 16 | W 63 57 75 |
| Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | W 63 61 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexandra Eala
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 9
Nikola Bartunkova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Madison Keys
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 4
Sofia Kenin
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 44β47 matches
| Metric | Anisimova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 68% |
| Sets won | 64% | 65% |
| Games won | 57% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Anisimova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Anisimova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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