Alyssa Ahn vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alyssa Ahn and Elise Mertens have met 1 time since 2025; Elise Mertens leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ahn has taken 0 sets to Mertens's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ahn | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alyssa Ahn | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 4/10 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 1/7 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 7/17 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 4/11 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 63% | 5/8 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 6/6 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 4/6 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ahn 0, Mertens 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ahn
⚔️ The Gladiator
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ahn | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alyssa Ahn | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ahn | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -2.9% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.20u | +3.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ahn | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | — | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dana Guzman
W35 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Anita Sahdiieva
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Kate Fakih
W35 Southaven · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Noor Sandhu
W35 Southaven · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Gabriella Broadfoot
W35 Florence · 1st Round
Jul 29
Ariana Arseneault
W35 Saskatoon · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Ana Grubor
W35 Saskatoon · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Nadia Lagaev
W35 Saskatoon · 1st Round
Jul 22
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 17–55 matches
| Metric | Ahn | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 62% |
| Sets won | 51% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ahn | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ahn | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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