Alibek Kachmazov vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alibek Kachmazov and Rio Noguchi have met 1 time since 2025; Alibek Kachmazov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kachmazov has taken 2 sets to Noguchi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alibek Kachmazov won at Gwangju Challenger (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Seoul Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 27 · 2:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.50 or shorter, Alibek Kachmazov has won 45 of 55 (82%). The price implied 69%, so Alibek Kachmazov has beaten it by 13 points.
At 2.42 or longer, Rio Noguchi has won 20 of 66 (30%). That is level with the 31% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Alibek Kachmazov and Rio Noguchi meet next at the Seoul Challenger on October 27 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kachmazov | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alibek Kachmazov | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 26/34 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 6/9 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 37% | 25/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 26/40 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 2/3 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 76% | 13/17 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kachmazov 1, Noguchi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kachmazov
👑 The Complete Package
Noguchi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 802 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alibek Kachmazov.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 24, 2025
Gwangju Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kachmazov | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alibek Kachmazov | Rio Noguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 22/22 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 3 or more | 96% | 21/22 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 19/22 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 46% | 10/22 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 4/22 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/22 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kachmazov | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21–4 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.36 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | +11.0% | -45.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.75u | -5.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kachmazov | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kachmazov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Noguchi's 50%).
| Opponent | Kachmazov | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Omar Jasika | W 76 63 | L 26 57 |
| Fajing Sun | W 63 64 | W 76 46 76 |
| Charles Broom | W 46 76 64 | L 26 46 |
| Colin Sinclair | L 67 76 26 | W 63 63 |
| Maan Kesarwani | L 36 57 | L 36 36 |
| Marek Gengel | W 75 63 | W 46 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Woobin Shin
Seoul Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 26
Dong Ju Kim
Seoul Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Wuning 3 Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Omar Jasika
Wuning 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Fajing Sun
Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Evan Zhu
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Charles Broom
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Kasidit Samrej
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Masamichi Imamura
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Colin Sinclair
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kaichi Uchida
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Omar Jasika
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–67 matches
| Metric | Kachmazov | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 55% |
| Sets won | 74% | 53% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kachmazov | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kachmazov | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |