Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#136 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
6w7 meetings · sets 8–8
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Daria Kasatkina have met 7 times since 2016; Daria Kasatkina leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Fed Cup WG R1: RUS vs BLR in 2016 on clay. On hard courts they are level 3–3. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 8 sets to Kasatkina's 8. Their most recent meeting: Aliaksandra Sasnovich won at Miami Open - Miami (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 4/10 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 10/26 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 3/12 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 5/14 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 13% | 1/8 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 4/9 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 3, Kasatkina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
🎾 All-Court
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs 🎾 All-Court across 1,626 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daria Kasatkina.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Mar 24, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 18, 2021
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 9, 2019
Sydney
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 29, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Oct 20, 2017
Moscow
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 16, 2017
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Apr 16, 2016
Fed Cup WG R1: RUS vs BLR
C Clay · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sasnovich | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | -47.4% | -51.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.79u | -5.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Sasnovich and Kasatkina posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 62 57 36 | L 62 67 36 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 36 62 62 | L 36 26 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 16 64 62 | L 16 36 |
| Janice Tjen | W 67 75 61 | W 67 61 64 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 46 46 | W 75 63 |
| Alina Charaeva | L 46 06 | W 46 60 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 21
Tereza Valentova
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anna Blinkova
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 14
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Storm Hunter
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Katy Dunne
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Magdalena Frech
Berlin
Jun 13
Storm Hunter
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–35 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 43% |
| Sets won | 39% | 47% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sasnovich | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| BJK Cup | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sasnovich | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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