Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐พAliaksandra Sasnovich
#118 ยท 32 yrs ยท Right-Handed
8 meetings ยท sets 10โ8

๐ฆ๐บDaria Kasatkina
#82 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Daria Kasatkina have met 8 times since 2016; they are level 4โ4. Their first meeting came at Fed Cup WG R1: RUS vs BLR in 2016 on clay. On hard courts Sasnovich leads 4โ3. Sasnovich has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 10 sets to Kasatkina's 8. Their most recent meeting: Aliaksandra Sasnovich won at Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 14/57 | 51% | 21/41 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 3/12 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 24/35 | 61% | 11/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 4, Kasatkina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
๐ The Complete Package
Kasatkina
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aliaksandra Sasnovich.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Sep 21, 2026
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Mar 24, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Mar 18, 2021
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Jan 9, 2019
Sydney
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Aug 29, 2018
US Open
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Oct 20, 2017
Moscow
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 16, 2017
Cincinnati
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Apr 16, 2016
Fed Cup WG R1: RUS vs BLR
C Clay ยท Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sasnovich | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ6 | 5โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | -18.8% | -31.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | -3.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 4 |
| Distance | โ | 3,433 mi ยท 5,525 km |
| Route | SGP โ ROU | SGP โ ROU โ CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sasnovich's 33%).
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Paula Badosa | L 57 36 | L 64 67 46 |
| Emiliana Arango | L 63 46 46 | W 62 36 76 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 36 62 62 | L 36 26 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 46 46 | W 75 63 |
| Alina Charaeva | L 46 06 | W 46 60 64 |
| Daria Snigur | W 62 06 62 | L 36 63 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elvina Kalieva
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Linda Fruhvirtova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou ยท 2nd Round
Oct 7
Xinxin Yao
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou ยท 1st Round
Oct 5
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Talia Gibson
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Varvara Lepchenko
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Junhan Zhang
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 2nd Round
Sep 23
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ57 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 51% |
| Sets won | 54% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sasnovich | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| BJK Cup | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sasnovich | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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