Alexei Popyrin vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Hugo Gaston have met 2 times since 2022; Hugo Gaston leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2022 on grass. Gaston has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 2 sets to Gaston's 3. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Hugo Gaston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 36% | 20/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 42% | 5/12 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexei Popyrin.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 28, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Hugo Gaston | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | -2.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | -0.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 103 mi · 165 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Popyrin's 20%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Maestrelli | W 64 76 | W 76 61 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 67 16 | W 60 63 |
| Jan Choinski | L 61 26 26 | L 64 06 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L |
| Ugo Blanchet | L 36 67 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–60 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 57% |
| Sets won | 36% | 54% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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