Alexandre Muller vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 5 · 4:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.68 or longer, Rio Noguchi has won 14 of 54 (26%). That is level with the 28% the price implied.
At 1.45 or shorter, Alexandre Muller has won 49 of 71 (69%). That is level with the 71% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Alexandre Muller and Rio Noguchi meet next at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai on October 5 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 13/19 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 4/27 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 10/46 | 37% | 25/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 8/20 | 38% | 13/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 8/23 | 63% | 19/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 16/18 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
🎯 Baseliner
Noguchi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,107 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexandre Muller.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Muller and Noguchi have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Rio Noguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 9–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -19.9% | -19.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.38u | -3.30u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,033 mi · 1,662 km | 1,507 mi · 2,425 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Muller and Noguchi posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Muller | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Bar Biryukov | W 64 64 | W 62 75 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 26 26 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Moise Kouame
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luka Pavlovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Felix Balshaw
Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Ziga Sesko
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Masamichi Imamura
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Colin Sinclair
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kaichi Uchida
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Omar Jasika
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Rigele Te
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Bu Yunchaokete
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–67 matches
| Metric | Muller | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 55% |
| Sets won | 40% | 53% |
| Games won | 46% | 51% |