Alexandre Muller vs Felix Auger-AliassimePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Alexandre Muller
#138 · 29 yrs · R
34 meetings · sets 4–6
🇨🇦Felix Auger-Aliassime
#4 · 26 yrs · R
8wAlexandre Muller and Felix Auger-Aliassime have met 4 times since 2018; Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Lyon in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Auger-Aliassime leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Auger-Aliassime has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Muller has taken 4 sets to Auger-Aliassime's 6. Their most recent meeting: Felix Auger-Aliassime won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 70% | 26/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 5/25 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/39 | 27% | 14/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 5/17 | 55% | 24/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 63% | 20/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 81% | 26/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 1, Auger-Aliassime 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
⚙️ Grinder
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Felix Auger-Aliassime.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 29, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 22, 2025
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 4, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 12, 2018
Lyon
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 33% | 4/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.80 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -58.8% | -9.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.70u | -1.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 5,829 mi · 9,381 km | — |
| Route | SMR → GER → MEX | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Muller's 38%).
| Opponent | Muller | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Mariano Navone | L 46 06 | L 67 67 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 63 36 46 | W 63 61 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 75 | W 57 61 76 76 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 76 | W 75 61 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 26 26 | W 64 64 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 26 63 36 76 76 | W 75 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 64 36 46 | W 64 76 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 26 46 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Guy Den Ouden
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Marco Cecchinato
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Stefano Napolitano
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Aleksandr Shevchenko
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tommy Paul
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Michael Zheng
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Dino Prizmic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Learner Tien
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Nuno Borges
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–66 matches
| Metric | Muller | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 73% |
| Sets won | 37% | 66% |
| Games won | 45% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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