Alexandre Muller vs Felix Auger-AliassimePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Felix Auger-Aliassime have met 4 times since 2018; Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Lyon in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Auger-Aliassime leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Auger-Aliassime has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Muller has taken 4 sets to Auger-Aliassime's 6. Their most recent meeting: Felix Auger-Aliassime won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 4/27 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 11/47 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 48% | 23/48 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 8/23 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 66% | 23/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 94% | 31/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 1, Auger-Aliassime 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
🎯 Baseliner
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 29, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 22, 2025
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 4, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 12, 2018
Lyon
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.33 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.96u | -1.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,033 mi · 1,662 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Muller's 33%).
| Opponent | Muller | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 16 57 | W 67 76 63 67 61 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L | L 63 75 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 06 | L 67 67 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 63 36 46 | W 63 61 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 75 | W 57 61 76 76 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 76 | W 75 61 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 26 26 | W 64 64 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 26 63 36 76 76 | W 75 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 64 36 46 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Rio Noguchi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Moise Kouame
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luka Pavlovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Quentin Halys
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rinky Hijikata
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–68 matches
| Metric | Muller | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 68% |
| Sets won | 41% | 64% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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