Alexandra Eala vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇭Alexandra Eala
#19 · 21 yrs · Left-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6wAlexandra Eala and Madison Keys have met 1 time since 2025; Alexandra Eala leads 1–0. Across all meetings Eala has taken 2 sets to Keys's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexandra Eala won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Eala | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandra Eala | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 26/38 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 22/64 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 16/32 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 15/30 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 5/7 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 31/39 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 26/39 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Eala 1, Keys 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Eala
🏹 Frontrunner
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Eala | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandra Eala | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Eala | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | +21.3% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.77u | -2.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Eala | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | SGP | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Eala and Keys posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Eala | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 61 | L 61 67 57 |
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | W 61 64 | W 76 61 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 64 46 26 | W 36 62 63 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W | W 60 63 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 06 | W 46 63 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 46 64 60 | L 67 67 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 46 | L 46 67 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 62 | L 16 26 |
| Petra Marcinko | W 60 62 | W |
| Karolina Muchova | L 06 26 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tatiana Prozorova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Oleksandra Oliynykova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mary Stoiana
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–64 matches
| Metric | Eala | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 68% |
| Sets won | 57% | 65% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Eala | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Eala | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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