Alexandra Eala vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇭Alexandra Eala
#18 · 21 yrs · Left-Handed
Title41 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Alexandra Eala and Madison Keys have met 1 time since 2025; Alexandra Eala leads 1–0. Across all meetings Eala has taken 2 sets to Keys's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexandra Eala won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Eala | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandra Eala | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 32/48 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 26/75 | 34% | 16/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 21/42 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 39/48 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 32/48 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Eala 1, Keys 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Eala
🏹 Frontrunner
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Eala | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandra Eala | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 8/25 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Eala | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19–6 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.43 |
| ROI % | +51.4% | -5.3% |
| Units P/L | +12.85u | -0.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Eala | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Eala and Keys posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Eala | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Amanda Anisimova | L 64 46 26 | W 36 62 63 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 06 | W 46 63 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 46 64 60 | L 67 67 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 61 | L 64 26 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 46 | L 46 67 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 62 | L 16 26 |
| Kayla Day | W 62 63 | W 67 64 63 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 06 26 | W 64 75 |
| Donna Vekic | W 75 64 | W 62 63 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 64 63 | W 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Alycia Parks
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Naomi Osaka
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elina Svitolina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–75 matches
| Metric | Eala | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 68% |
| Sets won | 60% | 65% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Eala | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Eala | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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