Alexander Zverev vs Luciano DarderiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Luciano Darderi have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 3 sets to Darderi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luciano Darderi won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 4th Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 7 · 9:15 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.09 or shorter, Alexander Zverev has won 91 of 93 (98%). The price implied 91%, so Alexander Zverev has beaten it by 7 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Luciano Darderi meets Alexander Zverev in the fourth round of the U.S. Open on September 7, with the Italian ranked 22nd and the German second in the world. Both players have built momentum through the hard court stages, arriving off the back of three-match winning streaks. Darderi has played five matches in fourteen days, while Zverev has competed three times over the same span.
The head-to-head record sits level at 1-1. Darderi has won 4 of his last 5 matches and 7 of 10; Zverev has posted the same marks over those stretches. On hard courts across recent play, Zverev holds a 14-6 record at 70%, while Darderi stands at 11-9 for 55%. Against their shared opponents, Zverev has compiled a stronger collective showing, winning against Blockx, Cerundolo, and Kopriva while Darderi fell to those same three.
Both men are hard court strikers who rely on aggressive baselines and power through the court. Zverev brings a more consistent record on the surface and comes in fresher after two days rest compared to Darderi's one day between matches. For Darderi, sustaining his current pace while managing the accumulated fatigue will be central; for Zverev, converting his statistical dominance on hard courts into decisive play through four sets shapes the central test.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Luciano Darderi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 21/60 | 41% | 22/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 25/48 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 3/11 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 19/28 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 81% | 22/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 27/42 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 1, Darderi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
💥 Big Hitter
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Zverev and Luciano Darderi are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,148 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 12, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
May 12, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Luciano Darderi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 53% | 10/19 |
| 10 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 20 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -18.0% | +13.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | +2.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 567 mi · 913 km | 1,488 mi · 2,395 km |
| Route | USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Darderi's 50%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 62 76 62 | W 16 75 63 |
| Tommy Paul | L 64 67 46 | W 36 63 62 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 76 57 64 | L 26 36 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 61 62 | W |
| Alexander Blockx | W 61 64 | L 75 67 67 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 75 63 | W 64 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 76 67 36 46 | L 16 36 67 |
| Marcos Giron | W 62 76 64 | L 61 57 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 76 | W 75 63 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 46 62 | L 62 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Quentin Halys
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Lorenzo Sonego
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Cameron Norrie
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Mattia Bellucci
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–80 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | 57% |
| Sets won | 68% | 55% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |