Alexander Bublik vs Roberto Bautista AgutPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇰🇿Alexander Bublik
#16 · 29 yrs · R
5w3 meetings · sets 4–3

🇪🇸Roberto Bautista Agut
#230 · 38 yrs · R
9wAlexander Bublik and Roberto Bautista Agut have met 3 times since 2016; Alexander Bublik leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Bublik leads 2–1. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 4 sets to Agut's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Open Sud de France - Montpellier (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Bautista Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Bautista Agut 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Agut
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 4, 2022
Open Sud de France - Montpellier
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 10, 2021
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 13, 2016
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Agut's 0%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 76 | L 36 67 |
| Marcos Giron | W 36 64 62 | L 67 57 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | L 64 26 46 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 46 46 | L 04 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 76 | L 46 67 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 61 76 | L 46 76 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hynek Barton
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Brandon Nakashima
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Zizou Bergs
Valencia Challenger · 2nd Round
May 14
Pedro Martinez
Valencia Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 32% |
| Sets won | 57% | 36% |
| Games won | 51% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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