Alexander Bublik vs Roberto Bautista AgutPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Alexander Bublik
#22 · 29 yrs · R
3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇪🇸Roberto Bautista Agut
#243 · 38 yrs · R
15wAlexander Bublik and Roberto Bautista Agut have met 3 times since 2016; Alexander Bublik leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Bublik leads 2–1. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 4 sets to Agut's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Open Sud de France - Montpellier (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Bautista Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Bautista Agut 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Agut
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 1,590 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 4, 2022
Open Sud de France - Montpellier
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 10, 2021
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 13, 2016
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | - |
| ROI % | -9.9% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | — |
| Route | GBR → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Agut's 0%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 67 63 76 | L 26 57 26 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 76 | L 36 67 |
| Marcos Giron | W 36 64 62 | L 67 57 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | L 64 26 46 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 46 46 | L |
| Juncheng Shang | W 61 76 | L 46 76 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hynek Barton
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Brandon Nakashima
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Zizou Bergs
Valencia Challenger · 2nd Round
May 14
Pedro Martinez
Valencia Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 32% |
| Sets won | 58% | 36% |
| Games won | 52% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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