Alexander Bublik and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 3 times since 2016; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 3–0. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at US Open (2022).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 334 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
3 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -22.1% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.09u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Busta's 70%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci | L 67 16 | W 64 26 76 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 64 | W 76 75 36 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 75 | W 63 76 63 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | W 57 75 75 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 63 | W 64 63 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | L 26 16 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 75 64 75 | W 46 76 62 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 36 76 62 | L 36 61 46 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 36 67 | L 46 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | W 63 62 |
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
BOSS OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
BOSS OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Jan-Lennard Struff
BOSS OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 11
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jan-Lennard Struff
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Arthur Rinderknech
Gonet Geneva Open · Quarterfinals
May 21
Edas Butvilas
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 20
Learner Tien
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–60 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 67% |
| Sets won | 64% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
