Alexander Bublik vs Miomir KecmanovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟAlexander Bublik
#16 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
5w4 meetings ยท sets 3โ8

๐ท๐ธMiomir Kecmanovic
#64 ยท 26 yrs ยท R
Alexander Bublik and Miomir Kecmanovic have met 4 times since 2021; Miomir Kecmanovic leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Astana Open - Nur-Sultan in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Kecmanovic leads 2โ0. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Kecmanovic has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 3 sets to Kecmanovic's 8. Their most recent meeting: Miomir Kecmanovic won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 53% | 27/51 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 71% | 20/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Kecmanovic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
๐ค Servebot
Kecmanovic
๐ฏ Baseliner
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฏ Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 7, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard ยท 1st Round
May 26, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
May 3, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Sep 23, 2021
Astana Open - Nur-Sultan
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ5 | 6โ8 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 3.08 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -34.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -4.89u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 3 |
| Matches | โ | 6 |
| Distance | โ | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kecmanovic's 40%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | L 76 46 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 26 63 64 36 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 36 63 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 64 36 76 26 36 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 67 16 | W 61 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | L 46 76 67 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 76 63 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 61 61 | W 62 63 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 67 63 67 61 | W 57 64 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 67 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Sho Shimabukuro
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 23
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Rinderknech
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 47% |
| Sets won | 57% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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