Alexander Bublik vs Miomir KecmanovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Miomir Kecmanovic have met 4 times since 2021; Miomir Kecmanovic leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Astana Open - Nur-Sultan in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Kecmanovic leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Kecmanovic has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 3 sets to Kecmanovic's 8. Their most recent meeting: Miomir Kecmanovic won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 53% | 28/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 33% | 12/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Kecmanovic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Kecmanovic
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 1,590 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 7, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
May 26, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 3, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 23, 2021
Astana Open - Nur-Sultan
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 5–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -45.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -6.34u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kecmanovic's 30%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | L 36 36 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 61 61 | L 67 63 67 |
| Edas Butvilas | W 64 63 | W 75 16 75 |
| Tommy Paul | L 46 63 76 16 36 | W 57 64 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | L 76 46 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 26 63 64 36 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 36 63 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 64 36 76 26 36 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 67 16 | W 61 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | L 46 76 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Sho Shimabukuro
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Edas Butvilas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SRB-LTU 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Sho Shimabukuro
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 47% |
| Sets won | 58% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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