Alexander Bublik vs Max PurcellPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟAlexander Bublik
#16 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
5w2 meetings ยท sets 4โ0

๐ฆ๐บMax Purcell
#945 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
Alexander Bublik and Max Purcell have met 2 times since 2018; Alexander Bublik leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Shanghai in 2018 on hard. Bublik has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 4 sets to Purcell's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Purcell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Max Purcell | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 90% | 9/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 15% | 2/13 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 82% | 9/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 2, Purcell 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
๐ค Servebot
Purcell
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Max Purcell are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 18, 2024
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Sep 9, 2018
Shanghai
H Hard ยท Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Purcell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Max Purcell | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ5 | 9โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -1.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -0.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 5 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Garrett Johns
Kingston 2 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Kingston 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Harold Mayot
Kingston 1 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 19
Blaise Bicknell
Kingston 1 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Wuning ยท Final
Jun 28
Dong Ju Kim
M15 Wuning ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Grigoriy Lomakin
M15 Wuning ยท 2nd Round
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 13โ58 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 77% |
| Sets won | 57% | 75% |
| Games won | 51% | 64% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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