Alexander Bublik vs Max PurcellPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟAlexander Bublik
#22 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ0

๐ฆ๐บMax Purcell
#685 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
Alexander Bublik and Max Purcell have met 2 times since 2018; Alexander Bublik leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Shanghai in 2018 on hard. Bublik has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 4 sets to Purcell's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Purcell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Max Purcell | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 94% | 16/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 14% | 3/22 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 94% | 17/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 89% | 16/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 2, Purcell 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
๐ค Servebot
Purcell
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Max Purcell are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 18, 2024
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Sep 9, 2018
Shanghai
H Hard ยท Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Purcell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Max Purcell | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ5 | 10โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.30 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -12.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 5,722 mi ยท 9,208 km | โ |
| Route | GBR โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Final
Jul 25
Filip Peliwo
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Julien De Cuyper
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Luan ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Zhao Zhao
M15 Luan ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jumpei Yamasaki
M15 Luan ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
Ilia Simakin
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 12
Cruz Hewitt
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 22โ59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 77% |
| Sets won | 58% | 77% |
| Games won | 52% | 61% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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