Alexander Bublik vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟAlexander Bublik
#16 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
5w1 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐ฎ๐นMattia Bellucci
#96 ยท 25 yrs ยท L
3Alexander Bublik and Mattia Bellucci have met 1 time since 2026; Mattia Bellucci leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 0 sets to Bellucci's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mattia Bellucci won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Bellucci 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
๐ค Servebot
Bellucci
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Mattia Bellucci are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 16, 2026
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ5 | 7โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.37 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | +11.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +1.57u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 3 |
| Matches | โ | 5 |
| Distance | โ | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Bellucci's 40%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 57 36 |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | L 36 67 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 57 62 63 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | L 75 57 57 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 76 76 46 63 | L 36 46 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 63 64 76 | L 76 46 67 |
| Edas Butvilas | W 64 63 | W 64 75 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 75 | W 62 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 76 67 36 | W 76 63 |
| Marcos Giron | W 36 64 62 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Martin Landaluce
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 23
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Zachary Svajda
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Sebastian Baez
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 23
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 2nd Round
Jun 18
Alexander Bublik
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 57โ58 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 49% |
| Sets won | 57% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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