Alexander Bublik vs Marcos GironPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π°πΏAlexander Bublik
#16 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
5w5 meetings Β· sets 5β8

πΊπΈMarcos Giron
#77 Β· 33 yrs Β· R
4Alexander Bublik and Marcos Giron have met 5 times since 2021; Marcos Giron leads 3β2. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Bublik leads 2β1. On clay courts Giron leads 2β0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 5 sets to Giron's 8. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Marcos Giron | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 49% | 23/47 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 79% | 15/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 54% | 14/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Giron 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
π€ Servebot
Giron
π― Baseliner
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π― Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jan 10, 2026
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Sep 21, 2023
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard Β· 1st Round
May 22, 2023
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay Β· 1st Round
May 9, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Aug 17, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Marcos Giron | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8β5 | 4β8 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.52 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -46.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -5.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 2 |
| Events | β | 2 |
| Matches | β | 2 |
| Distance | β | 737 mi Β· 1,186 km |
| Route | β | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Giron's 40%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 75 | L 57 64 26 |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | W 76 63 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | L 46 75 67 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 75 | W 46 64 75 64 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 67 16 | W 63 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 76 67 36 | L 57 76 16 |
| Yibing Wu | W 63 63 | L 57 26 46 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | L 67 64 63 67 26 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 16 46 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 67 64 64 | W 64 16 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel Β· Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel Β· Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel Β· 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad Β· 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round
Aug 24
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 4
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Corentin Moutet
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 52β59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 44% |
| Sets won | 57% | 49% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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