Alexander Bublik vs Marcos GironPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π°πΏAlexander Bublik
#22 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
5 meetings Β· sets 5β8

πΊπΈMarcos Giron
#88 Β· 33 yrs Β· R
6Alexander Bublik and Marcos Giron have met 5 times since 2021; Marcos Giron leads 3β2. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Bublik leads 2β1. On clay courts Giron leads 2β0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 5 sets to Giron's 8. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Marcos Giron | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 53% | 26/49 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 50% | 13/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Giron 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
π€ Servebot
Giron
π― Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs π― Baseliner across 1,590 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jan 10, 2026
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Sep 21, 2023
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard Β· 1st Round
May 22, 2023
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay Β· 1st Round
May 9, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Aug 17, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Marcos Giron | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7β5 | 3β7 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -63.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -6.39u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi Β· 9,208 km | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR β CHN | JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Giron's 30%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 67 63 76 | W 76 61 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 61 36 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | L 57 67 |
| Jaume Munar | W 64 67 76 | L 75 16 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 75 | L 57 64 26 |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | W 76 63 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | L 46 75 67 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 75 | W 46 64 75 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 76 67 36 | L 57 76 16 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | L 67 64 63 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London Β· Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel Β· Final
Jul 25
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 8
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ignacio Buse
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 2
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round
Aug 24
Henrique Rocha
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 55β59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 44% |
| Sets won | 58% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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