Alexander Bublik vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Hugo Gaston have met 2 times since 2019; Alexander Bublik leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Rennes in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Bublik leads 2–0. Bublik has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 5 sets to Gaston's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at U.S. Open - New York (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Hugo Gaston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 36% | 20/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Gaston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 29, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 8, 2019
Rennes
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Hugo Gaston | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -2.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -0.30u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 103 mi · 165 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Gaston's 57%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Alexei Popyrin | W 64 63 | W |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | W 63 75 | W 57 76 75 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 26 57 | L 16 46 26 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 64 62 | L 62 46 26 16 |
| Gael Monfils | W 64 64 | W 62 63 36 26 60 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 36 76 62 | W 62 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–60 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 57% |
| Sets won | 58% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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