Alexander Bublik vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Hugo Gaston have met 2 times since 2019; Alexander Bublik leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Rennes in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Bublik leads 2–0. Bublik has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 5 sets to Gaston's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at U.S. Open - New York (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Hugo Gaston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 63% | 22/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 37% | 21/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 73% | 22/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Gaston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 29, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 8, 2019
Rennes
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Hugo Gaston | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | +7.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +1.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Gaston's 60%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | W 63 75 | W 57 76 75 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 26 57 | L 16 46 26 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 64 62 | L 62 46 26 16 |
| Gael Monfils | W 64 64 | W 62 63 36 26 60 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 36 76 62 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–61 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 61% |
| Sets won | 57% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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