Alexander Bublik vs Corentin MoutetPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Corentin Moutet have met 4 times since 2017; Alexander Bublik leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Mouilleron le Captif in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Bublik leads 4–0. Bublik has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 8 sets to Moutet's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Moutet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Corentin Moutet | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 35% | 15/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 3, Moutet 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Moutet
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 29, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 14, 2025
Phoenix Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 12, 2022
Firenze Open - Florence
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 8, 2017
Mouilleron le Captif
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Moutet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Corentin Moutet | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.24 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -37.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Moutet's 40%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Marton Fucsovics | W 75 64 75 | W 61 62 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | L 46 46 |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | W 64 64 |
| Marcos Giron | W 36 64 62 | L 64 46 57 46 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 76 | W 67 64 76 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 76 36 62 | W 64 75 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 36 76 62 | L 36 75 46 63 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | L 64 46 46 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 76 63 | L 36 46 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 06 | L 26 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Nick Kyrgios
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 43% |
| Sets won | 57% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
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