Alexander Bublik vs Corentin MoutetPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Corentin Moutet have met 4 times since 2017; Alexander Bublik leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Mouilleron le Captif in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Bublik leads 4–0. Bublik has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 8 sets to Moutet's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Moutet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Corentin Moutet | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 31% | 11/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 61% | 11/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 3, Moutet 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Moutet
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 29, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 14, 2025
Phoenix Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 12, 2022
Firenze Open - Florence
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 8, 2017
Mouilleron le Captif
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -54.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -2.18u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | — |
| Route | GBR → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Moutet's 50%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Machac | W 64 76 | W 60 16 64 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 26 36 | L 64 16 36 |
| Tommy Paul | L 46 63 76 16 36 | L 64 36 46 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 75 64 75 | W 61 62 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | L 46 46 |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | W 64 64 |
| Marcos Giron | W 36 64 62 | L 64 46 57 46 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 76 | W 67 64 76 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 76 36 62 | W 64 75 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 36 76 62 | L 36 75 46 63 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Abedallah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 37% |
| Sets won | 58% | 42% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
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