Alexander Bublik vs Alexander ZverevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Alexander Zverev have met 4 times since 2021; Alexander Bublik leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Bublik leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Bublik leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 7 sets to Zverev's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2023).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 4th Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 13 · 6:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.30 or shorter, Alexander Zverev has won 208 of 252 (83%). The price implied 80%, so Alexander Zverev has beaten it by 3 points.
At 3.58 or longer, Alexander Bublik has won 10 of 43 (23%). That is level with the 22% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Alexander Bublik and Alexander Zverev meet next at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai on October 13 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Zverev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Alexander Zverev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 68% | 30/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 36% | 22/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 56% | 29/52 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 85% | 39/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 65% | 30/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 3, Zverev 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Zverev
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 24, 2023
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · Semifinals
Apr 11, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 6, 2022
Open Sud de France - Montpellier
H Hard · Final
Mar 3, 2021
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Zverev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Alexander Zverev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 33% | 6/18 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 6% | 1/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 16–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -6.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -1.35u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Bublik's 50%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 67 63 76 | W 76 57 64 |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | W 64 67 63 |
| Tomas Machac | W 64 76 | W 64 62 62 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 61 76 | W 60 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | W 75 62 36 63 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | W 76 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 16 | L 62 67 911 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 26 36 | W 76 61 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | W 62 75 61 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 62 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Quentin Halys
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yibing Wu
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Cameron Norrie
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Alex de Minaur
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Matchup videos
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–88 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 78% |
| Sets won | 58% | 72% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |