Alex Michelsen vs Yunchaokete BuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Yunchaokete Bu have met 3 times since 2024; Alex Michelsen leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Michelsen leads 3–0. Michelsen has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 6 sets to Bu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Acapulco (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 70% | 16/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, Bu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Bu
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 25, 2025
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 7, 2024
Metz
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 4, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | +120.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.91u | +1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bu's 60%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Lajal | W 63 64 | W 75 64 |
| Lloyd Harris | W 63 63 | W 76 16 61 |
| Adam Walton | L 67 46 | W 62 60 |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | W 76 63 36 63 | L 67 36 |
| Coleman Wong | W 64 62 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hugo Dellien
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Clement Tabur
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Chris Rodesch
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Otto Virtanen
Lexus Birmingham Open · Final
Jun 7
Arthur Fery
Lexus Birmingham Open · Semifinals
Jun 6
Mark Lajal
Lexus Birmingham Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Billy Harris
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Lloyd Harris
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–59 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 64% |
| Sets won | 56% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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