Alex Michelsen vs Yunchaokete BuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Yunchaokete Bu have met 3 times since 2024; Alex Michelsen leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Michelsen leads 3–0. Michelsen has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 6 sets to Bu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | 24% | 15/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 61% | 23/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 91% | 40/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 75% | 33/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, Bu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Bu
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 25, 2025
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 7, 2024
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 4, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 17/20 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 65% | 13/20 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 4/20 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 2.45 |
| ROI % | -1.6% | +46.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.31u | +6.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Bu's 13%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 67 76 64 36 36 | W 62 61 61 |
| Federico Cina | W 64 61 60 | L 63 46 57 |
| Jacob Fearnley | W 76 63 | L 63 76 |
| Mark Lajal | W 63 64 | L 64 61 |
| Lloyd Harris | W 63 63 | L 76 16 61 |
| Adam Walton | L 67 46 | L 62 60 |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | W 76 63 36 63 | L 67 36 |
| Coleman Wong | W 64 62 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Casper Ruud
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luca Van Assche
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Kamil Majchrzak
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Michael Zheng
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Michael Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–65 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 34% |
| Sets won | 60% | 63% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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