Alex Michelsen vs Marcos GironPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Marcos Giron have met 3 times since 2024; Marcos Giron leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport in 2024 on grass. On hard courts Giron leads 2–0. Giron has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Giron leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 1 sets to Giron's 6. Their most recent meeting: Marcos Giron won at ASB Classic - Auckland (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Marcos Giron | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | 49% | 23/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 79% | 15/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 54% | 14/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 0, Giron 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Giron
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 14, 2026
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 22, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 21, 2024
Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Marcos Giron | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.52 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | -46.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.91u | -5.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 737 mi · 1,186 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Giron's 40%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Dhakshineswar Suresh | W 62 67 62 | L 36 57 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 46 75 67 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 57 46 | W 46 64 75 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 63 16 | L 67 64 63 67 26 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 75 63 | L 16 46 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 63 62 | W 64 16 61 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 36 63 64 | L 46 36 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 62 61 | W 63 64 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 57 26 | L 67 64 57 |
| Daniel Merida | W 63 64 | W 60 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Corentin Moutet
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–59 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 44% |
| Sets won | 56% | 49% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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