Alex Michelsen vs Marcos GironPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Marcos Giron have met 3 times since 2024; Marcos Giron leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport in 2024 on grass. On hard courts Giron leads 2–0. Giron has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Giron leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 1 sets to Giron's 6. Their most recent meeting: Marcos Giron won at ASB Classic - Auckland (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Marcos Giron | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | 53% | 26/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 50% | 13/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 0, Giron 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Giron
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 14, 2026
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 22, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 21, 2024
Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Marcos Giron | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 17/20 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 65% | 13/20 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 4/20 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -1.6% | -63.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.31u | -6.39u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Giron's 50%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 75 63 | L 61 36 46 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | W 76 64 63 | W 60 61 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 63 64 64 | W 76 61 |
| Dhakshineswar Suresh | W 62 67 62 | L 36 57 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 46 75 67 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 57 46 | W 46 64 75 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 63 16 | L 67 64 63 67 26 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 63 62 | W 64 16 61 |
| Mariano Navone | W 26 62 75 | W 46 75 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 46 | L 76 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ignacio Buse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Henrique Rocha
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–63 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 44% |
| Sets won | 60% | 48% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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