Alex Michelsen vs Jacob FearnleyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Jacob Fearnley have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2026 on grass. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Michelsen leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 4 sets to Fearnley's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Bloomfield Hills Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Fearnley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Jacob Fearnley | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | 46% | 23/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 100% | 20/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 80% | 16/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, Fearnley 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Fearnley
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 26, 2026
Bloomfield Hills Challenger
H Hard · Final
Jun 30, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Fearnley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Jacob Fearnley | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 96% | 24/25 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 72% | 18/25 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 48% | 12/25 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 4% | 1/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 18–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.91u | +2.62u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 145 mi · 233 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Michelsen and Fearnley posted a 63% win rate.
| Opponent | Michelsen | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 64 75 | W 64 75 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 36 76 16 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 16 76 810 | L 36 63 36 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 76 | W 76 64 |
| Mark Lajal | W 63 64 | W 75 36 61 |
| Adam Walton | L 67 46 | W 57 76 64 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 63 36 62 | W 63 61 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 63 62 | L 46 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Alexis Galarneau
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Final
Jul 26
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
J.J. Wolf
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–59 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 57% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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