Alex Bolt vs Tristan SchoolkatePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Tristan Schoolkate have met 4 times since 2024; Tristan Schoolkate leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Shenzhen 1 Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Schoolkate leads 3–0. Schoolkate has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 1 sets to Schoolkate's 8. Their most recent meeting: Tristan Schoolkate won at BNP Paribas Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 21/53 | 40% | 21/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 72% | 18/25 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 67% | 16/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 0, Schoolkate 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Schoolkate
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alex Bolt and Tristan Schoolkate are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 2, 2026
BNP Paribas Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 8, 2025
Newport Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 31, 2025
Brisbane 1 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 25, 2024
Shenzhen 1 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | -52.1% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.65u | -1.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Bolt and Schoolkate posted a 30% win rate.
| Opponent | Bolt | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 57 26 | L 46 62 16 |
| Oliver Tarvet | L 67 57 | L 36 26 |
| Arthur Fery | L 46 76 36 | L 46 63 36 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 75 63 | L 46 46 |
| Fajing Sun | L 76 36 36 | L 67 26 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 63 67 | L 67 76 26 |
| Yunchaokete Bu | L 57 26 | L 57 46 |
| James McCabe | W 75 76 | W 36 76 62 |
| Marc Polmans | L 67 57 | W 76 75 |
| Corentin Denolly | W 46 63 62 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oliver Tarvet
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jamie Mackenzie
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Keegan Smith
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Arthur Fery
Birmingham Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Mattia Bellucci
Birmingham Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Lukas Neumayer
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Andre Ilagan
Brownsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Federico Cina
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 13
Quinn Vandecasteele
Brownsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Murphy Cassone
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Arthur Gea
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
August Holmgren
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Nicolas Mejia
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Daniel Evans
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–55 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 47% |
| Sets won | 58% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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