Alex Bolt vs Tristan SchoolkatePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Tristan Schoolkate have met 4 times since 2024; Tristan Schoolkate leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Shenzhen 1 Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Schoolkate leads 3–0. Schoolkate has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 1 sets to Schoolkate's 8. Their most recent meeting: Tristan Schoolkate won at BNP Paribas Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 41% | 26/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 20/30 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 24/32 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 0, Schoolkate 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Schoolkate
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alex Bolt and Tristan Schoolkate are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 2, 2026
BNP Paribas Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 8, 2025
Newport Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 31, 2025
Brisbane 1 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 25, 2024
Shenzhen 1 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 6% | 1/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.39 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -10.4% | +2.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.15u | +0.47u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 8 | 8 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 6,970 mi · 11,217 km |
| Route | CHN | FRA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bolt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Schoolkate's 30%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Sweeny | W 63 76 | L 63 36 26 |
| Oliver Tarvet | L 67 57 | L 36 26 |
| Arthur Fery | L 46 76 36 | L 46 63 36 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 75 63 | L 46 46 |
| Fajing Sun | L 76 36 36 | L 67 26 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 63 67 | L 67 76 26 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 57 26 | L 57 46 |
| Marc Polmans | L 67 57 | W 76 75 |
| Corentin Denolly | W 46 63 62 | W 61 62 |
| Andy Andrade | W 62 46 62 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lloyd Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Dane Sweeny
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Evan Zhu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Semen Pankin
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Akira Santillan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Omar Jasika
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Dane Sweeny
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Harold Mayot
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Philip Henning
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Matteo Martineau
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Harold Mayot
Rennes Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Matisse Bobichon
Rennes Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Anton Matusevich
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Marek Gengel
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–67 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 49% |
| Sets won | 56% | 50% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.