Alex Bolt vs Semen PankinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Jingshan Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 29 · 2:55 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.52 or shorter, Alex Bolt has won 38 of 62 (61%). The price implied 67%, so Alex Bolt has fallen 6 points short of it.
At 2.38 or longer, Semen Pankin has won 5 of 12 (42%). The price implied 32%, so Semen Pankin has beaten it by 10 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Alex Bolt faces Semen Pankin in the 1st Round of the Jingshan Challenger on September 29 on hard court. Bolt, ranked 183rd, has played three matches in the past two weeks; Pankin sits at 425th and has played two matches in that span. Neither player has faced the other before.
Bolt has won two of his last five matches and four of his last ten. Pankin's recent record shows one win in five and four wins in ten, putting him in a deeper slump after dropping his last match. Both players lost to Elias Ymer and Fajing Sun in recent outings on the Challenger circuit.
Bolt relies on his serve as his primary weapon and has gone 9-11 on hard courts in the sample. Pankin presents a more rounded game across the court and holds a 10-10 hard court record over the same period. Bolt will need his first serve to set the tone; Pankin will need to stay compact on return and build points from the baseline.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Pankin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Semen Pankin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 22/29 | 73% | 45/62 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 32% | 29/90 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 56% | 37/66 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 19/28 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 87% | 54/62 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 73% | 45/62 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Pankin
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,438 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Bolt and Pankin have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Pankin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Semen Pankin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Pankin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 10–11 |
| Avg odds | 2.36 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | -38.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.10u | -8.10u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Pankin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 427 mi · 687 km | 1,365 mi · 2,197 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pankin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Bolt's 0%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Pankin |
|---|---|---|
| Elias Ymer | L 67 67 | L 75 57 36 |
| Fajing Sun | L 76 36 36 | L 64 67 36 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 57 26 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Akira Santillan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Omar Jasika
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 26
James McCabe
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Oliver Tarvet
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sheng Tang
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Yaojie Zeng
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 22
Elias Ymer
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Alexis Galarneau
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Yosuke Watanuki
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Dimitar Kisimov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 22
Stefan Horia Haita
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Drazen Petrovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–90 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Pankin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 69% |
| Sets won | 55% | 65% |
| Games won | 51% | 57% |