Alex Bolt vs Liam CaruanaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Liam Caruana have met 2 times since 2020; Alex Bolt leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Burnie in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Bolt leads 2–0. Bolt has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 4 sets to Caruana's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex Bolt won at Launceston (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Caruana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Liam Caruana | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 21/53 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 72% | 18/25 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 2, Caruana 0).
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 7, 2020
Launceston
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 29, 2020
Burnie
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Caruana |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | - |
| ROI % | -52.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.65u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Caruana |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oliver Tarvet
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jamie Mackenzie
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Keegan Smith
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Arthur Fery
Birmingham Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Mattia Bellucci
Birmingham Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Lukas Neumayer
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Andrew Harris
Monterrey · Round of 32
Mar 4
Agustin Velotti
Monterrey · Round of 64
Mar 3
Hugo Nys
Monterrey · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Aziz Dougaz
Calgary · Round of 64
Feb 25
Maxime Cressy
Drummondville · Round of 16
Feb 20
Yusuke Takahashi
Drummondville · Round of 64
Feb 16
Brayden Schnur
Drummondville · Round of 32
Feb 9
Alex Bolt
Launceston · Quarterfinals
Feb 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–53 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Caruana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | - |
| Sets won | 58% | - |
| Games won | 52% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Caruana |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Caruana |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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