Alex Bolt vs Liam CaruanaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Liam Caruana have met 2 times since 2020; Alex Bolt leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Burnie Challenger in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Bolt leads 2–0. Bolt has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 4 sets to Caruana's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex Bolt won at Launceston Challenger (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Caruana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Liam Caruana | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 20/30 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 24/32 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 2, Caruana 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Caruana
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Bolt.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 7, 2020
Launceston Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 29, 2020
Burnie Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Caruana |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.39 | - |
| ROI % | -10.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.15u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Caruana |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lloyd Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Dane Sweeny
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Evan Zhu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Semen Pankin
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Akira Santillan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Omar Jasika
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Andrew Harris
Monterrey Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Agustin Velotti
Monterrey Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 3
Hugo Nys
Monterrey · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Aziz Dougaz
Calgary Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 25
Maxime Cressy
Drummondville Challenger · 3rd Round
Feb 20
Brayden Schnur
Drummondville Challenger · 2nd Round
Feb 18
Yusuke Takahashi
Drummondville Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 16
Brayden Schnur
Drummondville · Round of 32
Feb 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–58 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Caruana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | - |
| Sets won | 56% | - |
| Games won | 51% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Caruana |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Caruana |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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