Alex Bolt vs Jay ClarkePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Jay Clarke have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Surbiton in 2018 on grass. On grass courts Bolt leads 2–0. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 5 sets to Clarke's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alex Bolt won at London / Queen's Club (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Clarke | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Jay Clarke | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 68% | 25/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 63% | 20/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 21/53 | 46% | 32/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 72% | 18/25 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 75% | 33/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 57% | 25/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 1, Clarke 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Clarke
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Bolt.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 14, 2025
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 26, 2021
Rome 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 31, 2020
Burnie Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 6, 2018
Surbiton
G Grass · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Clarke | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Jay Clarke | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -52.1% | -30.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.65u | -3.61u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bolt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Clarke's 50%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fery | L 46 76 36 | L 26 64 36 |
| Dane Sweeny | W 63 64 | W 62 62 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | W 63 76 | W 64 61 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 75 63 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oliver Tarvet
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jamie Mackenzie
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Keegan Smith
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Arthur Fery
Birmingham Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Mattia Bellucci
Birmingham Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Lukas Neumayer
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Clement Chidekh
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jerome Kym
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Javier Barranco Cosano
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Stijn Paardekooper
M25 The Hague · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Stijn Paardekooper
Futures 2026
Jul 9
Mac Visser
M25 The Hague · 1st Round
Jul 8
Marco Trungelliti
Bundesliga - men
Jul 5
Andrea Pellegrino
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–69 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 54% |
| Sets won | 58% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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