Alex Bolt vs Jay ClarkePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Jay Clarke have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Surbiton in 2018 on grass. On grass courts Bolt leads 2–0. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 5 sets to Clarke's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alex Bolt won at London / Queen's Club (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Clarke | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Jay Clarke | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 64% | 25/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 65% | 22/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 49% | 36/73 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 20/30 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 72% | 34/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 24/32 | 53% | 25/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 1, Clarke 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Clarke
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Bolt.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 14, 2025
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 26, 2021
Rome 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 31, 2020
Burnie Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 6, 2018
Surbiton
G Grass · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Clarke | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Jay Clarke | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 9–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.39 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | -10.4% | -12.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.15u | -2.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 9 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 553 mi · 890 km |
| Route | CHN | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bolt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Clarke's 50%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Sweeny | W 63 76 | W 62 62 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 75 63 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lloyd Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Dane Sweeny
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Evan Zhu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Semen Pankin
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Akira Santillan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Omar Jasika
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Gabriele Piraino
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Bari Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Fabrizio Andaloro
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Genoa 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Giuseppe La Vela
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
John Sperle
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Alejandro Moro Canas
Biella Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Felix Gill
Biella Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–73 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 53% |
| Sets won | 56% | 55% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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