Alex Bolt vs James McCabePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and James McCabe have met 3 times since 2022; Alex Bolt leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Sydney Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Bolt leads 2–1. Bolt has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 4 sets to McCabe's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alex Bolt won at Citi Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | McCabe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | James McCabe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 67% | 24/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 32% | 10/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 33% | 22/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 20/30 | 46% | 17/37 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 24/32 | 73% | 24/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 2, McCabe 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
McCabe
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alex Bolt and James McCabe are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 25, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 14, 2026
Busan Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 3, 2022
Sydney Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | McCabe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | James McCabe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 0–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.39 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -10.4% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.15u | -7.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 1 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McCabe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Bolt's 56%).
| Opponent | Bolt | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Sweeny | W 63 76 | W 67 61 76 |
| Lukas Neumayer | L 06 16 | L 16 46 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 63 67 | L 36 67 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | W 46 64 76 | W 75 76 |
| Hiroki Moriya | W 63 36 63 | W 64 63 |
| Kokoro Isomura | W 75 63 | W 62 63 |
| Pavle Marinkov | W 63 75 | W 62 76 |
| Marc Polmans | L 67 57 | W 62 76 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lloyd Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Dane Sweeny
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Evan Zhu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Semen Pankin
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Akira Santillan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Omar Jasika
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Hayato Matsuoka
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Siddhant Banthia
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lukas Neumayer
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Noah Zamora
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Dusan Lajovic
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Bolt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Duncan Chan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–67 matches
| Metric | Bolt | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 54% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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