Alex Bolt vs Fajing SunPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Fajing Sun have met 3 times since 2023; Fajing Sun leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Sun leads 3–0. Sun has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sun leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 1 sets to Sun's 6. Their most recent meeting: Fajing Sun won at Wuxi Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Sun | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Fajing Sun | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 70% | 21/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 37% | 11/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 21/53 | 33% | 20/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 72% | 18/25 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 0, Sun 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Sun
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 5, 2026
Wuxi Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
May 11, 2025
Wuxi Challenger
H Hard · Final
Oct 2, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Sun | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Fajing Sun | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -52.1% | -55.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.65u | -5.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,119 mi · 3,410 km |
| Route | USA | TUR → KAZ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sun has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Bolt's 50%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Ilia Simakin | L 67 63 16 | L 36 67 |
| Rio Noguchi | W 76 76 | L 67 64 67 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 63 67 | L 63 57 46 |
| Giles Hussey | W 62 63 | W 62 36 62 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | L 63 67 46 | W 76 62 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 57 26 | W 62 61 |
| James McCabe | W 75 76 | W 64 64 |
| Philip Sekulic | W 62 61 | W 76 63 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | L 26 76 26 | L 16 26 |
| Takuya Kumasaka | W 63 64 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oliver Tarvet
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jamie Mackenzie
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Keegan Smith
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Arthur Fery
Birmingham Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Mattia Bellucci
Birmingham Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Lukas Neumayer
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Hayato Matsuoka
Astana Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Semen Pankin
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Zangar Nurlanuly
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Ilia Simakin
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Semen Pankin
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Mees Rottgering
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Ozan Baris
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–60 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 50% |
| Sets won | 58% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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