Alex Bolt vs Arthur FeryPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAlex Bolt
#164 ยท 33 yrs ยท L
4w2 meetings ยท sets 2โ4

๐ฌ๐งArthur Fery
#37 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
3Alex Bolt and Arthur Fery have met 2 times since 2025; Arthur Fery leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Bloomfield Hills Challenger in 2025 on hard. Fery has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 2 sets to Fery's 4. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Fery won at Birmingham Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Fery | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Arthur Fery | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 21/53 | 46% | 24/52 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 38% | 13/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 72% | 18/25 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 93% | 25/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 0, Fery 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
๐ค Servebot
Fery
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐น Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 4, 2026
Birmingham Challenger
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22, 2025
Bloomfield Hills Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Fery | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Arthur Fery | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ5 | 14โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -52.1% | +24.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.65u | +5.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 313 mi ยท 503 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Fery has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Bolt's 29%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| James Duckworth | W 75 61 | W 64 26 76 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 57 26 | L 26 63 36 |
| Yunchaokete Bu | L 57 26 | L 26 63 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 | W 76 63 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | L 63 67 46 | W 64 36 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 76 06 36 | L 67 16 36 |
| Dane Sweeny | W 63 64 | W 64 46 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Oliver Tarvet
Wimbledon ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jamie Mackenzie
Terra Wortmann Open ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Keegan Smith
Ilkley Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 10
Arthur Fery
Birmingham Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jun 4
Mattia Bellucci
Birmingham Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 2
Lukas Neumayer
Roland Garros ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Final
Aug 29
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Cruz Hewitt
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Alex de Minaur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
James Duckworth
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London ยท Semifinals
Jul 10
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 53โ60 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 67% |
| Sets won | 58% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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